Jonathan Martin at Politico follows up on CNN's breaking story about Sarah Palin's resignation as governor of Alaska. She is set to resign at the end of the month and not to run for governor in a second term. She announced the surprise news from her house over this Independence Day weekend, but left considerable ambiguity about her future political plans. In the meantime, political commentators and media outlets continue to speculate the rationale and the plan for the young governor.
Since setting foot on the national stage last year during the 2008 presidential election, Palin has had a history of fending off several ethics investigations and weathered the accusation of a blissfully ignorant vetting procedure. Martin reports that the legal defense fund set to recompense the investigations must reach nearly $300,000 in order to settle the account. In addition, Palin has served a considerable amount of time as governor in absentia, and while being gone, chooses to take late night talk show hosts toe-to-toe rather than focus more attention to state business. I have a simple word for it: "starstruck."
Let's look at how this might unfold. The folksy Fargo accent is bad enough, but even her most staunch conservative supporters have had to face that uphill defensive posture when stating her qualifications for office. Reporters have done double duty in asking her direct questions about experience and her preparation for the stage and also for throwing her a few hints here and there about policies to which she is ignorant. Credited for energizing the base, CNN released a poll showing that 80% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Palin, dwindling 47% for Independents, and 23% of Democrats. To be fair, "favorable" could mean everything from "ready to serve office" to "you make me laugh, you silly, silly moose-eating pitbull-lipstick hockey Mom, you!" If David Letterman could get her that unhinged after one ill-placed joke, then imagine how well she would stand up against real threats to American security or the complex intricacies in navigating public policy and procedure? Appropriately, Republican strategists asked to comment on the news at this time are not in a big hurry to rush a swift defense or offer reassurance. Even her stronger supporters are confused by this sudden move. And needless to say, she would have to construct a reasonable explanation for increasingly unexplainable behavior.
To be fair, I don't think she's being crazy or off-kilter. Pawning herself as a faith-loving, family mom, I'm actually surprised it has taken her this long to return roost. Maybe she just needed to drop out, and it seemed only appropriate to let the press know.
A brilliant move?
No, I doubt it. Mary Matalin commented on air that her swan song seems appropriate because her rebellious image makes the resignation acceptable, and that now she is freed up to build political capital for 2012. Perhaps. I just don't think that the behavior will hold up to the substantive criticism. Competent politicians, especially those with presidential aspirations, have to juggle the day-to-day responsibilities and the speculation and the study and the campaigning. You have to interview, study, read, read, and read more, and communicate with staff, and show up to Congress. You can't quit the country midway through, and pledge loyalty and love for the home as a substitute. It's not like Obama flies back to Chicago to check up on the local machinery. Palin waxing romantically about it now cannot soothe the sting of a premature reaction.
In the meantime, can you seriously imagine how well she would fare juggling a massive economic crisis, rising unemployment, health care, and energy reforms? For that matter, can you imagine the fervent rush of her staff to defend a whimsical anecdote or an injection of prayer into political discussion? Last I checked, you can only pray to win the Powerball. God can't fix a country, no matter how much tongue-speech takes place.
What do you think of all this?